Australian pulses racing towards a strong harvest

“And Canada, traditionally the third-largest producer of chickpeas, is recovering from back-to-back dry years. But a rather aggressive newcomer, Russia, re-entered the chickpea market over the last four years, quadrupling its production during that time to levels not far off from Australia’s almost record high crop in 2024/25,” he said.

Mr Vogel said India, traditionally, has been producing around 70 per cent of the world’s chickpeas.

“However, this season, Indian farmers are faced with delivering one of the lowest crops grown in the last five years,” he said.

Mr Vogel said in countries that are big producers, and also big importers – such as India – there can be political pressures that impact the market.

“Imports hurt local farmer margins, and there is a large farming population in India. At times of oversupply and low prices, the government has stepped in and tried to support the farmers, introducing import tariffs,” he said.

“However, as chickpeas are a food staple in India and, with the reduced local production forecast, the Indian government has recently removed its chickpea import tariff. At times of poor local production volumes and high prices, the government tries to protect consumers by allowing imports.”

Mr Vogel said this tariff removal is “good news” for Australian farmers, with an expectation of continued good prices.

“Right now, prices are at record levels in India for chickpeas. And the outlook for the next 12 months is for India to continue to import sizable volumes,” he said.

Other major markets for Australian chickpeas include Bangladesh, the United Arab Emirates and Pakistan, Mr Vogel said.

Lentils

For lentils, Australian farmers are expecting to see a small production increase for the upcoming 2024/25 harvest, assuming the post-frost regrowth in southern regions will be able to deliver some production, Mr Vogel said.

“Another major lentil producer, Canada, is also expecting to see increased production volumes this season – following recent dry years that negatively impacted harvests,” he said. “And Australian farmers and exporters can expect to face more competition from Canada in international lentil markets.”

Asian markets are the major importers of Australian lentils, Mr Vogel told the podcast.

In 2023/24, he said, Australian exporters had shipped roughly half the lentil crop to China, “with Bangladesh taking almost a quarter, while Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Egypt each took less than 10 per cent”.

“And India is a really important market for Australian lentil growers. While chickpea prices remain high in India – we will see consumers become more flexible and switch somewhat between chickpeas, lentils and other pulses in an attempt to limit the impact of those high chickpea prices on household budgets.”

This increased Indian demand is well timed, Mr Vogel said. “We need that extra Indian demand to support Australian prices going into harvest, as both Australia and Canada are forecast to deliver bigger crops this season,” he said.

Field peas

For the international field pea market, China is the dominant import player, Mr Vogel said. And Canada has traditionally produced the majority of the field pea volume shipped to China. “But Russia’s exports to China have increased quickly since 2023, once phytosanitary issues were resolved and China allowed for the import of Russian peas,” he said.

“Chinese buyers use the field pea starch in the making of noodles. And as a by-product, you are left with quite a bit of protein, resulting in China being one of the largest pea protein producers in the world, which can be used as a foundation for building alternative meat. As a quite cheap and competitive producer of pea protein, China is supplying alternative protein manufacturers around the world.”

Compared with Russian and Canadian pea production volumes, Australia is a “rather small” producer, Mr Vogel said. “China last season imported around 40 per cent of the Australian field pea exports, with South East Asian nations importing most of the rest,” he told the podcast.

Mr Vogel said as the Chinese market is dominated by Russian and Canadian field pea imports, Australian exporters need to continue to look to other Asian countries, such as Sri Lanka and Bangladesh, to take up some of the volume.

Global freight challenges

While, traditionally, Australian pulses have been exported in containers, “sky high” container freight rates due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID years had seen a pivot to bulk shipping, Mr Vogel said.

“As container freight rates increased by up to eight times, pulse exporters swapped to bulk shipping to destination markets,” he said.

“While container rates had eased from those historic highs, the Houthi attacks in the Red Sea put pressure on the global shipping sector in 2024 and container freight rates have risen to very high levels again.”

In addition to the increased costs, Mr Vogel said, exporters have been struggling to access the required number of containers and manage time delays.

“As bulk freight rates have barely moved, we can expect Australian pulses to continue to be exported this way for at least the next 12 months,” he said.
 

Rabobank Australia & New Zealand Group is a part of the international Rabobank Group, the world’s leading specialist in food and agribusiness banking. Rabobank has more than 125 years’ experience providing customised banking and finance solutions to businesses involved in all aspects of food and agribusiness. Rabobank is structured as a cooperative and operates in 37 countries, servicing the needs of approximately 8.4 million clients worldwide through a network of more than 1000 offices and branches. Rabobank Australia & New Zealand Group is one of Australasia’s leading agricultural lenders and a significant provider of business and corporate banking and financial services to the region’s food and agribusiness sector. The bank has 90 branches throughout Australia and New Zealand.